A New York professor whose formula has
proven accurate in every presidential election but one since 1912 says Donald
Trump has a 97.6 percent chance — or better — of taking the White House if he’s
the Republican nominee. Political-science Professor Helmut
Norpoth, of Stony Brook University on Long Island, created a statistical model
for presidential elections using candidates’ primary results and other data to
predict the victors, and he’s making Trump an all-but-sure thing this year. Read more.
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